実際、現在、家禽市場の回復も予測可能です。多くの家禽製品の価格は前年同期の水準に達しており、中には前年の平均価格を上回るものもあります。しかし、それでもなお、飼料価格が今年急騰したため、多くの人々は依然として飼育意欲を失っています。
Breed meat wool chicken for instance, see the price of wool chicken only, now 4 more than a catty, be pretty good. If placed in previous years, this price farmer’s profit is very considerable. But this year, because of high feed prices, the cost of raising a kilo of chicken has reached 4 yuan.
統計データによると、現在、肉用毛鶏1斤あたりの価格は4.2元で、ほぼ原価と同じであり、利益率は非常に低く、生存率は保証されておらず、わずかな損失さえも生じている。
Therefore, next year’s poultry breeding, how much profit, largely depends on the trend of feed prices. The poultry market is likely to be fine if there are no surprises, but feed prices are different.
To analyze next year’s feed price trend, we need to start with a few key factors that have contributed to the spike in feed prices. Many people know that the direct cause of this year’s feed price increase is the rising cost of feed ingredients like corn and soybean meal, but that’s just one of the reasons.
In fact, this year’s corn is a bumper harvest, the national corn production is higher than last year. But why did prices go up when the corn crop was plentiful? There are three reasons.
First, corn imports have been affected. Due to the epidemic, the whole import and export business has been affected this year, and corn is no exception. As a result, the overall supply of corn is a little tight ahead of this year’s new crop.
第二に、昨年、我が国の養豚生産は大幅に回復し、飼料需要も非常に高まっています。これがトウモロコシ、大豆などの飼料原料価格の上昇をさらに促進しました。
3つ目は、人為的な買いだめです。トウモロコシ価格の上昇を見越して、多くのトレーダーがトウモロコシを買いだめし、価格がさらに上昇するのを待っています。これは間違いなく人為的な価格上昇です。
Above is this year feed price, corn price rising a few important factors. But in fact, feed prices are rising not only because of the impact of rising corn prices, but also a very important reason, that is “prohibition of resistance”.
Post time: July 27, 2021
